Are all consequences of global warming necessarily bad?

Ignoring the question of whether this whole crisis is made up:

Those with a clear political agenda aver it.

‘Necessarily’ and ‘all’ are unempirical words, so I’m a naysayer – unlikely that all consequences are necessarily bad. Nature would not be workable if it were so simple, so black and white, as simple-minded people with narrow political agendas will themselves to be.

Among other good things: world population demands may just require areas normally covered by snow for much of the year to become good summer farmland.


There are at least seven assumptions in this idealized model. The one that most concerns me is that the gene being studied is not under selective pressure.

You are studying a gene not under selective pressure. Why? Of what great importance is that? Important, possibly; of great importance, no.

The most important genes cannot be in Harvey-Weinberg equilibrium for long.

The truth hurts

Of course it does – one cannot spell/say true without writing/saying rue.

(true -> rue)->(not rue -> not true): in words, if true, then rue; if not rue, then not true. This is an example of the famous logical tautology: if x, then y; then if not y, then not x.

If any statement someone made about us or our behavior does not give us rue, it probably was not (entirely) true.

Namians could not spell “true” in their beautiful and happy language with an embedded rue. Namians can tell the truth about themselves and us without causing themselves rue, but probably not without causing us considerable rue. So diplomatic and polished are they by nature, they would manage to hint the truth about us to us. But even a hint of the truth about ourselves is painful, so false are we to the core.

Now I see why some people like animals better than people

after watching “The Zookeeper’s Wife” – most humans are nowhere near as good as animals and often downright evil. Humans are simply not to be trusted.

“Trust no one, my friend, trust – no one!” – sage advice from Herod Agrippa to Claudius, not that long before both Herod and Messalina betrayed Claudius. A cat, a dog – far more faithful.

You can recognize people who have been abused by other people by this: they will definitely love animals more than people.

People who have been traumatized have a strong need to bond with animals and they benefit more than the rest of us from pet companionship (and they need to avoid people like their traumatizers as much as possible).

Poor judgment is a characteristic of even the best and smartest of men

And apparently Greek and Hebrew gods. Our judgment is so poor that even when we write stories about our betters, the gods, beings whom we worship, we inevitably bestow upon them our own bad judgments.

By contrast, how impressive is a really just human judge – how wise, how fair, how unemotional his judgements. How interesting and unusual it would be for a wise and just human judge to write a story about the divine judge – we probably would not recognize its wisdom and perspicacity. We might even laugh at the folly of the divine judge, so poor is our own judgment.


Causation is a fine one dimensional representation

in which every other important factor is abstracted or filtered out.

Triggers and aggravators are hardly causes, but they are not non-factors.

Ameliorators are not anti-causes, but are hardly irrelevant.

Necessary conditions are always relevant as well.

Put it together and the one causal dimensional representation of the problem becomes a three dimensional realistic representation that does not violate Ockham’s razor – it has no more than sufficient complexity to describe the phenomenon within scientifically accurate bounds.

A six foot line is a perfectly adequate one dimensional representation of my physical being. It is certainly not wrong, but it is utterly inadequate to characterize even my physical being, let alone me.

Defining cancer as being caused by nuclear mutations is a perfectly adequate one dimensional characterization of the disease.

Defining type II diabetes by insulin resistance is a perfectly adequate one dimensional picture of the medical condition/disease.

Defining hypertension as caused by too much salt consumption is a perfectly adequate one dimensional representation of the medical condition/disease.

Defining human longevity in terms of total calories consumed is a perfectly adequate and perfectly quantitative one dimensional representation of a problem that has certain dimensions that are difficult even to quantify.

Etc., etc.